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Laeserin @Laeserin - 1d

I know they're printing crazy amounts of money, to stave off the inflation, but that will just crowd out private investment and cause the economy to run even colder, not hotter, overall. Expect asset and consumer goods/services prices to go down 📉, as the "Strohfeuer" (straw fire 🔥) they are igniting quickly burns out. You cannot solve a collapsing economy and a shrinking, aging, lazy demographic of people who don't breed and can't read, by throwing more money at it. That money has nowhere to go. #economics nostr:nevent1qvzqqqqqqypzphtxf40yq9jr82xdd8cqtts5szqyx5tcndvaukhsvfmduetr85ceqy88wumn8ghj7mn0wvhxcmmv9uq3zamnwvaz7tmwdaehgu3wwa5kuef0qqswpt87dkjdsre9v05hg5llc4z3r5smhqvp9gntuk85tpad89aympgymdsly

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Laeserin @Laeserin - 1d

On the plus side, cheap sats, and I might end up a whole coiner, after all.

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Silberengel @Silberengel - 1d

Sorry, typo. Should read "to stave off the DEFLATION".

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Silberengel @Silberengel - 1d

Okay, everyone is staring at me like I'm confused, but think about it this way: The economy is collapsing. They want to inject it with cash, to push it up, again, at least in nominal terms, so that they can cover their debts with cheaper money. But the inflation trend is ↘️. They keep trying to hype it up, by announcing "whatever it takes", but the market just hears "economy ded, we're panicking, everyone shut down production and fire your workers".

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Silberengel @Silberengel - 1d

See that? Energy is getting cheaper. The price spike was due to the Ukriane war causing a temporary supply crunch. Consumption of energy collapsed down, to meet the higher prices, and now the price lowered to consumption. Higher prices solved higher prices. And the war is still on. Once it ends, there will be a supply glut and the price will collapse further. That is why they want to redirect energy to highly consumptive projects like defense and infrastructure. https://image.nostr.build/9a9c069b1b4e8230b87a3c14f092b92de8f7426d362d6b949cdb27834fbc2edb.png

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Laeserin @Laeserin - 1d

Well, they actually depleted their stocks with this war, so they could spend trillions just restocking, for years. It's not going to be sufficient, tho. The economy is too sluggish and exhausted. Nobody wants to take on credit, just to build things they can't sell, and they don't have the workers to build it all, anyway, and the customers are dying off. But Rheinmetall shares are a good bet, at least.

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Laeserin @Laeserin - 1d

I think Elon's preoccupation with demographics is why he wants to radically shrink the government.

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Laeserin @Laeserin - 1d

US broad money supply is shrinking. This is deflation.

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Laeserin @Laeserin - 1d

Even the M1 shows a mixed story, at best. Here, the 10 year.

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Laeserin @Laeserin - 24h

That is out of principle.

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